2020/01/10

War brinkmanship a game too dangerous to play

The US has been mired in Middle Eastern conflicts for many years. After taking office, Trump has repeatedly spoken about withdrawing from the Middle East. An all-out war with Iran will do no good to the US. It may also draw in American allies like the UAE or Israel. In case any oil facilities are attacked or the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, the situation may also trigger an oil price hike and deal a blow to the global economy.
Whether the Middle East will have war or peace depends on how Trump thinks. In his national speech last night, Trump spoke only of tighter sanctions on Iran and suggested that Iran "appears to be standing down" after it attacked the US forces. While the risk of a US-Iranian war seems to be going down, we still hope that the two sides can exercise restraint and stop the game of war brinkmanship.